Epidemiological dynamics of the 2009 Influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in India

نویسندگان

  • T. Jesan
  • Gautam I. Menon
  • Sitabhra Sinha
چکیده

We analyze the time-series data for the onset of A(H1N1)v influenza pandemic in India during the period June 1September 30, 2009. Using a variety of statistical fitting procedures, we obtain a robust estimate of the exponential growth rate 〈λ〉 ≃ 0.15. This corresponds to a basic reproductive number R0 ≃ 1.45 for influenza A(H1N1)v in India, a value which lies towards the lower end of the range of values reported for different countries affected by the pandemic.

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تاریخ انتشار 2010